The real estate market does not move in one direction nationwide. It never has. What is happening in Austin is not what is happening in Cleveland. What is true for a three-bedroom in the suburbs of Dallas has almost nothing to do with a two-bedroom in San Francisco. Before you do anything else, narrow your focus to the specific market you are shopping in and stop reading national headlines as if they apply to you personally.
Home prices at the national level have remained well above their pre-pandemic levels even as sales volume collapsed. The reason is supply. A seller who bought in 2021 at a three percent rate has nowhere affordable to go if they list today, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. That measure being at a historical extreme does not automatically produce a correction. What it means, practically, is that the pool of qualified buyers is smaller than it was three years ago.
Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. The difference between a 680 score and a 760 score can mean a half-point or more in rate. If your score has room to improve, pull your reports, find the issues, and address them before you start shopping seriously.
The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. When the appraisal comes in below contract, the deal does not automatically die, but it does require a decision. Ask your agent what the local pattern looks like before you structure an offer without an appraisal contingency.
Negotiation works best when it is quiet and well-prepared. Before you make an offer, find out whether there are other offers on the table or offers that have already fallen through. A listing with a history of two failed deals in the past month is a fundamentally different negotiation than a property that is drawing multiple showings every day.
Real estate is illiquid. If there is a reasonable chance you will need to move in two years, renting is the financially rational choice. None of that means do not buy. It means be honest about your time horizon before you commit.
Buyers who take the time to do their homework tend to find that opportunities exist even when conditions look difficult on paper. Before you commit to a direction, browsing homes for sale and market resources can sharpen your picture of what is actually available in your price range.
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